Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 2.810145 3.245085 3.731091 4.315513 5.000682 5.780267 6.737014
2025-04-13 2.077687 2.628472 3.307636 4.211419 5.389682 6.883318 8.935480
2025-04-20 1.792203 2.412136 3.229782 4.397013 6.036584 8.281376 11.628370
2025-04-27 1.536714 2.171755 3.055210 4.389364 6.379985 9.282521 13.913314
2025-05-04 1.389379 2.048854 3.010128 4.535705 6.937578 10.643549 16.930982
2025-05-11 1.242094 1.900275 2.899319 4.555224 7.288698 11.723641 19.674304
2025-05-18 1.121351 1.773228 2.799528 4.569075 7.619423 12.802943 22.584144
2025-05-25 0.991909 1.614660 2.627117 4.434804 7.673346 13.409671 24.746621
2025-06-01 0.918638 1.538334 2.578047 4.499367 8.075524 14.677293 28.345652
2025-06-08 0.862743 1.484079 2.558246 4.609670 8.570967 16.182440 32.672519
2025-06-15 0.798967 1.408343 2.490990 4.621897 8.878331 17.365806 36.548266
2025-06-22 0.739066 1.332760 2.414811 4.605734 9.124139 18.456673 40.419099
2025-06-29 0.689285 1.278010 2.385043 4.706015 9.685519 20.430539 47.030704
2025-07-06 0.618337 1.176489 2.257067 4.597859 9.810655 21.536442 52.006797
2025-07-13 0.589523 1.152878 2.277900 4.801787 10.652583 24.419915 62.142216
2025-07-20 0.543341 1.088289 2.206473 4.793382 11.006875 26.225278 69.952364
2025-07-27 0.517260 1.061772 2.210655 4.954428 11.792152 29.255580 82.008605
2025-08-03 0.482372 1.012193 2.158486 4.975912 12.236452 31.503569 92.452682
2025-08-10 0.450655 0.965711 2.107130 4.991158 12.667770 33.810771 103.781201
2025-08-17 0.410960 0.896905 1.996619 4.843383 12.639855 34.831568 111.286638
2025-08-24 0.389486 0.867213 1.973445 4.914434 13.226733 37.768053 126.209352
2025-08-31 0.372810 0.846768 1.969697 5.035842 13.980978 41.386261 144.783096
2025-09-07 0.351361 0.812550 1.928165 5.049301 14.422786 44.134516 161.097006